Foreign Direct Investment (fDi)

Hong Kong retains its lead spot in this year’s Asian Cities of the Future rankings but Singapore is in hot pursuit and the gap is narrowing. Charles Piggott analyses the results.

Hong Kong has maintained a narrow lead over Singapore in this year’s Asian Cities of the Future competition. The former UK crown colony demonstrated high levels of FDI, strong economic potential, falling unemployment and a high standard of living.

However, its rival, the island nation of Singapore, is fast catching up and this year’s study shows just how far the gap has narrowed: Hong Kong scored a total of 261.89 points while Singapore scored 260.97, representing a lead of just one third of a percentage point.

The ranking shows Singapore ahead of Hong Kong for human resources, infrastructure, international investment promotion and overall business friendliness. Lawrence Yeo, CEO of Singapore-based international consultancy firm AsiaBIZ Strategy and one of fDi magazine’s Locations of the Future judges, says: “I think Hong Kong’s lead this year is justified. However, the point is that the lead gap has narrowed tremendously. Singapore might just win in the next series if Hong Kong does not improve by then.”

Of Asia’s major cities, Tokyo scores top for infrastructure, while Melbourne comes out top for quality of life. Alor Star, the state capital of Kedah in Malaysia, is fDi’s Small Asian City of the Future, scoring well across several categories, including economic potential, cost effectiveness and business friendliness.



METHODOLOGY


fDi’s Locations of the Future competition covers each region once every two years. The next Asian Cities of the Future rankings will be published in 2009.

During the spring and summer of 2007, fDi magazine invited key cities across Asia to answer more than 60 questions in the seven broad categories listed below. fDi’s judges scored each of the 38 cities that responded according the criteria listed (below).

Cities scored up to 10 points for each criterion. The winners in each category are the cities that scored the most points in that category and the overall winner is the city that scored the most points across all seven categories.

Cities were scored by members of fDi’s editorial team and by independent guest judges (see judging panel).



JUDGING PANEL



David Kinnear, President of DDC HRO, a provider of business process outsourcing solutions, in New York

James Ku, Manager at consultancy firm Tractus-Asia Ltd in Shanghai

Anupam Prakash, Asia Pacific leader, global sourcing and business transformation, at HR consultancy firm Hewitt Associates in India

Lawrence Yeo, CEO of international consultancy firm AsiaBIZ Strategy in Singapore



JUDGING CRITERIA


Economic potential

• Percentage of the population under 25

• Adult unemployment level in 2006

• Change in adult unemployment 2004-06

• Average annual earnings of employees in 2006

• Average annual earnings growth 2004-06

• FDI stock per capita at the city level

• FDI stock per capita at the state/province level

• Level of FDI in 2006

• Number of foreign investment deals signed in 2006

• Three most significant inward investment projects

• FDI retention rate


Cost effectiveness

• Town centre office rental costs

• Out-of-town office rental costs

• Factory/industrial premises rental costs

• Warehouse rental costs

• Town centre office purchase costs

• Out-of-town office purchase costs

• Factory/industrial premises purchase costs

• Warehouse purchase costs

• Secretarial salaries

• Entry level manager salaries

• Middle manager salaries

• Senior manager salaries

• Manual worker wages

• Electricity tariffs for business/industrial users

• Water tariffs for business/industrial users

• Gas tariff for business/industrial users

• Unleaded fuel costs

• Diesel fuel costs


Human resources

• Number of university-level educational institutions in the city

• Number of university-level educational institutions in the state/province

• Leading university and research institutions in the city

• Leading university and research institutions in the state/province

• Number of student graduates in 2006

• Percentage of the city population with a university-level degree

• Government-sponsored worker training programmes

• Number of strikes in past three years

• Number of working hours per week


Quality of life

• Best housing areas

• Average residential property purchase price

• Average residential rental costs

• Public health care facilities

• Private health care facilities

• Leading schools

• Leading international schools

• Cultural heritage

• Environmental heritage

• Incidents of crime per 1000 people

• Number of soldiers and police personnel (% of general population)

• Number of foreigners becoming residents in past two years


Infrastructure

• Strategic transport links

• Mobile phone ownership (% of adult population)

• Internet connection speeds (maximum available bandwidth)


Business friendliness

• Basic level of corporate taxation

• Business-related taxes at the city level

• Business-related taxes at the state/province level

• Property transaction tax

• Number of non-local companies in the city

• Number of non-local companies in the state/province

• Number of jobs created by non-local companies in the past year

• Mandatory employer contributions, eg welfare taxes, health care benefits, etc


FDI promotion strategy

• Sectors targeted for inward investment

• Financial support available to investors

• Non-financial investment support available to investors

• Major infrastructure and urban planning projects

• Environmental strategies and grants

• Percentage of GDP allocated to FDI promotion




TOP 10 CITIES OF THE FUTURE / BY CATEGORY















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